Welcome to the Inexperienced Investor, powered by Investopedia. I am Caleb Silver, the Editor-in-Chief of Investopedia, and your information and fellow traveler on our journey into what it means to be a inexperienced investor at the moment and the place this investing group is headed sooner or later. On this week’s present, do not name it a comeback—at the least not but—however renewable power shares and ETFs are on the transfer up and to the precise. The passage of the Inflation Discount Act and an uptick within the broader inventory market has introduced inexperienced power shares again to life, and the cash is spreading into non-public corporations as effectively. We’ll title some names. And talking of naming names, we’ll hear from one of many prime former leaders of sustainability investing within the business who dropped all of it, dropped out and dropped a multipart essay on why the sustainable investing business is a fraud. Tariq Fancy joins the present for an explosive interview.
For those who assume it is sizzling now, quick ahead to the yr 2053. That is when forecasters from First Avenue Basis, which is a nonprofit that research local weather threat, says the warmth index will exceed 125 levels Fahrenheit throughout an excessive warmth belt by way of a swath of the USA. In a current report, First Avenue stated its forecast, which it assembles utilizing Nationwide Climate Service (NWS) information and different publicly accessible information, says the warmth index in 30 years will simply cross the edge of “excessive hazard.” The warmth belt is predicted to influence about eight million folks this yr and can develop to influence about 107 million folks within the yr 2053, which is a rise of 13 occasions over these 30 years. That belt will embody an enormous swath of the nation that features the Southeast and areas simply west of the Appalachian Mountains, stretching from Texas and Louisiana, all the way in which up by way of Missouri and Iowa to the Wisconsin border.
Chicago’s airports, libraries, and water purification vegetation will quickly be operating on 100% clear power, because of a deal introduced by Mayor Lori Lightfoot to shift all citywide operations to renewable sources by the yr 2025, making Chicago one of many largest U.S. metropolises to pledge such a transfer. Town signed an power provide settlement with retail electrical energy provider Constellation Vitality, with an preliminary five-year time period starting in January 2023, in accordance with the mayor’s workplace. The settlement may also permit Chicago to partially supply its power wants from a photo voltaic mission that is at present being developed by Swift Present Vitality. The mayor’s workplace didn’t disclose how a lot energy town is shopping for, or how a lot it’s paying for it.
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Meet Tariq Fancy
Tariq Fancy is the founder and Chief Government Workplace (CEO) of the Rumie Initiative, a Canada-based training know-how nonprofit that gives younger folks with digital instruments meant to make studying abilities enjoyable and interactive.
Tariq beforehand labored because the Chief Funding Officer (CIO) of Sustainable Investing at BlackRock, the world’s largest asset supervisor, the place he was liable for main the agency’s ESG technique and integrating ESG options into BlackRock’s funding course of.
What’s on this Episode?
For those who’ve been following this podcast and the information round ESG and sustainable investing currently, you may know that this investing theme is beneath assault. Regulators just like the Securities and Alternate Fee (SEC) are clamping down on greenwashing amongst corporations and funds, buyers are doubting the efficacy of ESG and SRI investing, particular curiosity teams are decrying the premise behind the whole idea of sustainable investing, rankings companies are being attacked for what they’re and what they don’t seem to be measuring, and business insiders are popping out towards the monetary providers business for packaging and promoting an investing phantasm all wrapped up in shiny inexperienced paper with a reasonably little bow on prime. A kind of insiders went very public along with his criticisms of the business after leaving his job because the Chief Funding Officer (CIO) of Sustainable Investing for the most important asset supervisor on the planet—that is BlackRock. He then wrote a prolonged four-part essay and revealed it on Medium.com to clarify the hypocrisies of sustainable investing and why he could not abet it anymore. That insider is Tariq Fancy, and he’s our visitor this week on the Inexperienced Investor. Welcome.
Tariq: “Thanks for having me.”
Caleb: “Tariq, you have been on the prime of the business—the CEO of BlackRock at arguably its most high-profile product space. You have been driving non-public jets with the Chairman and CEO, Larry Fink, you have been speaking to world leaders and the most important buyers on the earth. One would assume that you simply have been within the ideally suited place to form this business in a method that actually results in change. Why did you allow?”
Tariq: “I left as a result of I first got here to the conclusion that it wasn’t serving to very a lot in any respect. I went in, clearly, and joined the agency on this position, having drank the Kool-Help and believing what all of us wish to consider, which is that there is a win-win fantasy the place we are able to preserve the established order the way in which it’s and clear up all of our long-term threats that science is telling us to handle. I discovered, pretty shortly, that it was much less of a trusting position and extra of, nearly like a advertising and marketing position, and I did not have a number of influence. However what actually modified for me was after I left, and I began to appreciate that this isn’t simply not useful, it is really actively dangerous as a result of it presents what I name a harmful placebo that harms the general public curiosity. It is a fantasy that we are able to go away issues the way in which they’re and that abruptly this magical space of ESG stuff will seem—information instruments, requirements—and that can imply that we defend the surroundings, which, after all, is just not what any of our specialists are saying, and are simply saying we want systemic laws in place by authorities. And, , I spotted that the longer that we put all our inventory as a society in concepts like this that do not work, we not solely amplify the prices of inaction, we additionally switch them. We switch them to the youngest, the poorest, and the darkest pores and skin folks on the planet who’re going to disproportionately bear the implications of inaction on local weather change particularly. And that was one thing that I believed wanted to be topic to a public debate. That was my aim in going public.”
Caleb: “In order that’s in all probability what introduced you to write down the essay. You may have simply stepped away, returned to Rumie, the corporate, the web studying platform that you simply created, the place you are actually once more—we’ll speak about that in a short while—however why did you go so public?”
Tariq: “Largely, it was due to the work I did at Rumie, proper? I imply, I spent an extended profession in finance, first as a banker in Silicon Valley, within the group that did the IPOs of Amazon, Google, Cisco, and I finally went after the Dotcom bubble crash, went into what’s known as distressed or vulture investing. That was type of the lion’s share of my profession as an investor on that aspect of issues—very, very sharp, elbowed, very, very aggressive. And that type of mentality, the place you chop by way of the bullshit fairly shortly as a result of, , in a distressed state of affairs, there’s a number of B.S. going round and fanciful tales, no pun supposed. Sooner or later, I switched and began Rumie—it was a really private story round a buddy of mine from enterprise faculty who handed away of most cancers and I made a decision to comply with a path I had been fascinated by for years and construct a digital nonprofit.”
“That was one thing I used to be deeply obsessed with. Rumie is a 501(c)(3), a charity. I labored for 3 years for no wage to get it off the bottom. And, in my early-to-mid thirties, it was an odd profession selection, but it surely was one which I actually deeply cared about. And the intersection of getting labored on the extremes of revenue, in a sharp-elbowed hedge fund on one aspect, and on the opposite aspect, a purpose-based position operating a digital nonprofit that helps folks study and construct themselves—that unfold is just not quite common—frankly. And that was one of many issues that led me to be thought-about for this position as sort-of an investor main the ESG a part of issues, proper?—the sustainable investing a part of issues. After which I began to appreciate that this was largely advertising and marketing, that this was feel-good stuff that was in the end not going to work and never going to profit a number of deprived communities. It was actually the truth that I had left years earlier to do Rumie the place I stated, “hear, I’ve made my determination.” Like, I am a capitalist. I consider that investing can convey nice worth to society. I feel that the monetary providers business can do as a lot, however not the way in which it is being accomplished proper now. I made a decision, yeah, I used to be going to ruffle a couple of feathers, however that is not my personally, I do not actually care if they do not have a great argument to come back again. We reside in a market of concepts and that needs to be uncovered in order that as a society, we are able to make higher choices.”
Warning
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Caleb: “Yeah, and also you do invite the business to answer, to get into the dialog with you thru your essays, that are tremendous provocative, very private. You are speaking about additionally people you labored with, a few of them very high-profile. It is not such as you attempt to do that beneath the radar—you title names right here. However let’s speak about what you see because the inherent issues with sustainable and accountable investing from the business perspective. You stated there’s a number of advertising and marketing cash put into this—this is without doubt one of the best advertising and marketing efforts in all probability within the final twenty years that we have seen within the business. We all know property beneath administration (AUM) in these themes are $10 trillion, $12 trillion and rising yearly—it is all the time talked about by the business how an increasing number of buyers, particularly younger ones, wish to get into this investing theme—however you could have bother with it, from the product aspect right through to the advertising and marketing aspect.”
Tariq: “Very first thing you have to do whenever you take a look at sustainable investing is outline it, as a result of it is sort-of all issues to all folks, and it is fairly murky. So I might say the only method to have a look at it’s— and let’s take BlackRock for example—it is two issues, proper? BlackRock is the agency that final yr hit $10 trillion in property. I feel they’re under that now, but it surely’s an enormous funding agency. So let’s simply say it has $10 trillion value of property. The very first thing that ESG and sustainable investing is about is attempting to combine ESG concerns and components, identical to some other new information middle or set of parameters, into that $10 trillion. Now, the thought behind that’s that by ESG data, you’ll change into a greater investor. By the way in which, you must say that, as a result of as an investor, you are sure by a authorized obligation to solely concentrate on returns. So you must say, “I am ESG and it is nice for the world and good ESG corporations carry out higher, so this can be a fantastic win-win, proper?” The place we reward the higher corporations as a result of they’re extra worthwhile, extra capital goes to them. That is one half of the equation.”
“So the primary one is course of enhancement. It is not a product, it is simply present processes which are being upgraded. The second is that this large rising class of sustainable funding merchandise. And at BlackRock, the newest public disclosure talked about about half a trillion, or $500 billion of the near $10 trillion. Now, that is without doubt one of the quickest rising classes. And if I have been to summarize my complaints about sustainable investing as a apply at the moment, it is on each halves of these, proper? On the ESG integration bit, or the type of thought that you could improve your course of with higher returns—initially—most of what asset administration companies are literally doing is simply paper. They make nonbinding commitments that we’ll take a look at ESG stuff as we’re trying to make investments, and there is this ludicrous fantasy that that’s going to create some actual world influence, or at a minimal, higher funding returns. I noticed neither of these issues. Does it create higher funding returns? I imply, in a couple of areas, there is a kernel of fact to that, but it surely’s extremely depending on the specifics. If I am investing in an organization, and so they’re in California or they’re in China, then whether or not or not they’ve an animal rights controversy could or could not matter. It in all probability issues in California—I do not know that it issues that a lot at the moment in China. For those who’re an organization and also you’re carbon footprint, it issues what sector they’re in. If they are a financial institution, the ‘S’ and ‘G’ in all probability matter extra, and should you’re a useful resource firm, its the ‘E’ half.”
“As you get into the small print, it is very intricate—and there is a few kernels of fact—however most of them have been blown out of proportion. And what I noticed really—and perhaps this’ll shock folks, perhaps it will not—however usually talking, for lots of corporations, being irresponsible really is extra worthwhile. So should you’re Mark Zuckerberg, the accountable factor to do will in all probability be not addicting younger folks to psychological well being, destroying social media and rising suicide charges and creating psychological well being points so you’ll be able to pack their consideration and promote them adverts. But that is in all probability not the choice that Fb goes to make. Your complete construction of it’s legally incentivized to squeeze out revenue, so that they’ll preserve doing it. And in any sort of aggressive endeavor, you all the time have guidelines and referees. We all know that with sports activities—could not have any sort of sport with out referees and guidelines. Identical factor with capitalism. You’ve gotten guidelines and you’ve got referees which are regulators. And it simply struck me time and again as I checked out it, and I stated, the incentives of the system are to not do the precise factor; from an ESG perspective and for society, it is really fairly often to do the fallacious factor. So the ESG integration bit was a number of advertising and marketing and it was actually frankly deceptive.”
“After which the brand new merchandise, what surprised me is that the overwhelming majority of them cannot present any actual world influence being created. Nearly all of them are simply funds that take public secondary shares which are already traded in markets, and so they simply give totally different baskets of them to folks as a result of they determine, effectively, wait a second, I can promote two commoditized ETF passive merchandise, however with certainly one of them, if I’ve a couple of extra inexperienced issues in there, a socially aware investor pays me greater charges to put money into it, and that is an amazing alternative. However in the end, the divergence right here is that the particular person paying extra in charges for that ESG fund nearly all the time believes that they are doing one thing for the world by doing that, that one thing good goes to occur—extra capital going to extra socially accountable corporations. In actuality, the way in which secondary markets work, all you are actually doing is taking a barely totally different basket and utilizing it to cost accountable folks extra, however nothing in the actual world really adjustments—you are simply transferring cash round.”
Caleb: “Let’s get into that one, as a result of that is tremendous vital, the way in which that a number of buyers—particular person buyers—are uncovered to this theme, or get publicity to this theme, is thru ETFs—alternate traded funds, that are baskets of shares, or by way of index funds, that are, once more, baskets of shares or mutual funds. Your level is that, these are on the secondary market—they are not immediately investing in these corporations. They’re investing within the package deal model of this basket of corporations. Sure, there’s creation, redemption within the ETFs, and there is additions and subtractions in funds, however they’re actually not placing the cash into the corporate for the needs of lowering local weather change, or enhancing governance, or enhancing social motion. And that is a key level, as a result of in any other case, how are buyers alleged to get entry to some of these corporations, or to attempt to make change with their cash?”
Tariq: “It is very troublesome. I feel that buyers can fairly often create influence, but it surely’s typically by way of non-public automobiles that present contemporary main funding. I imply, there’s what folks within the influence area name additionality. Additionality is so simple as it sounds, its the precept of one thing extra occurring due to what you’ve got accomplished. There are automobiles that may make sense, however the overwhelming majority of the ESG area are issues that do not change something in the actual world. In the end, they’re fairly cynical ploys to get folks to use the social angst behind society’s—frankly—rising failures to handle not simply local weather change, however inequality, and a set of different points that damage political stability.”
“The humorous factor about these merchandise is that the idea of change behind them relies across the idea of divestment. In some half, the local weather activist motion has to bear some duty for pushing divestment as an answer. Divestment is the stupidest approach to drive actual world influence that I’ve ever seen. It is mainly cancel tradition meets monetary markets. Proper? It is like, “hey, if I do not personal this inventory, they won’t have capital.” That does not make any sense, as a result of it is the secondary shares which are being traded in the marketplace. So so that you can promote the share, it means another person must purchase them, in all probability some hedge fund that does not care whether or not it is a accountable firm or not. And in the end, it simply permits corporations to maintain doing what they’re doing with a unique shareholder base.”
“And one way or the other within the local weather activist area, the place sadly there is a dearth of individuals with monetary backgrounds, that one way or the other turned this concept that you could deal with local weather change by promoting your shares of a fossil gas maker, though CalPERS and others have stated previously that they assume they misplaced $50 million or one thing by divesting from tobacco within the 90s, folks nonetheless smoke—like all you must do is simply step apart and it will nonetheless preserve occurring. And I feel a number of merchandise are constructed off that concept—that you simply personal much less of one thing within the public secondary market, so that you create influence, however in actuality you do not, and you do not actually change the incentives or the conduct of any of the businesses.”
Caleb: “Effectively, there you have been, Tariq, at BlackRock, which is the largest asset supervisor on the planet, the place they’re actively invested in corporations and will push for change, may push for shareholder resolutions, may use their shareholder energy and their monumental measurement to push by way of shareholder resolutions. And in reality, did that—or at the least confirmed that they did that by way of their reviews for a few years—however could have dialed again on that now. However out of your perspective, both that wasn’t essentially occurring prefer it wanted to, or they have been merely wrapping merchandise beneath this umbrella, this inexperienced umbrella, which simply did not sq. up with you.”
Tariq: “Yeah, in the end the priority I’ve is that the majority of that work was advertising and marketing and PR, by which I imply that truly nothing in the actual world adjustments. It is nearly a establishment. It is like a drug lulling us into accepting the established order as a result of we really feel like one thing’s getting accomplished, though it isn’t. And the explanation it isn’t getting accomplished—the explanation we do not have as a lot capital going to inexperienced causes— is fairly just because the incentives aren’t there. It is too worthwhile to generate profits in fossil fuels, at the least relative to what we want for that to be as a society.”
“One approach to deal with that’s to say, “effectively, if you would like much less capital flowing to an exercise that’s much less fascinating within the eyes of the general public, you then make it much less worthwhile.” That is precisely what a carbon tax does, or a worth on carbon, proper? It says, okay, effectively, you’ll be able to’t get away with ignoring the price of air pollution you are creating. We all know that persons are polluting and passing on a value that future generations must take care of. I imply, folks alive at the moment or youthful persons are going to need to take care of it. And, we have to do one thing about that, and people concepts have existed for ages. The issue is they cannot get applied as a result of the political system is totally deadlocked. So, you could have a bunch of enterprise leaders like Larry Fink for standing up and saying, “hey, we have an answer.” Once you really take a look at what they’re doing, behind the scenes they’re utilizing advertising and marketing and lobbying to delay systemic laws like a carbon tax, typically by way of the business commerce teams. So the newest laws—the Inflation Discount Act or no matter it is known as—that was getting important opposition from the Enterprise Roundtable, who claims to consider in stakeholder capitalism, from the Chamber of Commerce, from all these organizations. After which on the similar time, they’re on the market peddling their very own resolution, saying “hey, purchase this factor.” And there are byproducts.”
“They can’t change the underlying mechanics of the system as a result of in the end capital does circulate to the place probably the most worthwhile alternatives are, and that all the time occurs as a result of all people making capital allocation choices often is doing it with another person’s cash. And at its core, the principal-agent downside of capitalism is that you simply can not simply allow them to spend on what they need. You really need your PM or your banker designing society? Their job is to concentrate on worth, and that is measured in {dollars}. And when you’ve got a whole system constructed round hyperlinks within the chain the place all people is financially incentivized and legally obligated to concentrate on greenback worth and maximize it, you find yourself in a state of affairs the place persons are pressured to use every kind of loopholes, whether or not it isn’t paying the prices of air pollution, evading taxes, and so forth and so forth. That is a systemic downside. And I might argue that management at the moment—enterprise leaders—it isn’t even that they’ll clear up this downside. I might argue that they cannot, however they’re mendacity and saying that they’ll, in order that they’ll promote you a bunch of ESG merchandise. And it is all as a result of their incentive construction may be very short-term.”
Caleb: “Let’s get into a number of the options. You write so much a few carbon tax, which is successfully a consumption tax as one of many solely methods to vary the conduct of billions of individuals, which we want. We do not want 100 million folks to vary our conduct. We do not want the USA to vary its conduct. We want all international locations to vary their conduct. Is a carbon tax even lifelike on the scale that you simply’re speaking about?”
Tariq: “The query across the design of the insurance policies is a vital one, however I might even zoom out. I feel a carbon tax or a worth on carbon in some type is sort of inevitable. And I feel a number of senior enterprise leaders sort of know that behind the scenes, that one thing like that can occur, however they assume it is politically unpalatable proper now. I feel the basic problem that we face at the moment is just not even about consumption tax or this coverage or that coverage, as a result of in the end, a technique or one other, you really learn the small print. It appears to be like like we as a society have constructed a way of life that borrows towards the prospects of future generations. That occurs whenever you construct a $5 trillion power business primarily based on fossil fuels, after which impulsively scientists inform you, effectively, all that capital expenditure you set in and all that know-how—every thing you’ve got accomplished, the land rights you’ve got purchased—you in all probability cannot exploit that the way in which you wish to. And now we have to construct a whole new system that is going to require innovation and scaling and so forth, so forth.
“Is it doable? After all. Is capitalism the precise mannequin to handle that? Sure, I feel so. Nevertheless it’s not going to occur by magic, as a result of it may require sacrifice. It’s in all probability true {that a} Huge Mac goes to value a bit extra, journey’s going to value a bit extra. Hopefully we are able to obtain that sort of sacrifice, these adjustments in a method that simply does not put the burden on the communities that already are strained. However what I feel actually must occur is in the end a bunch of significant regulation that internalizes the externalities to make use of financial idea parlance and adjustments the incentives of gamers within the system. We’ve not seen that but.”
Caleb: “Is anyone doing this proper? Are there any international locations on the market or markets—market locations—the place you see this occurring the way in which it ought to occur in the way in which that truly has potential to—let’s simply take the inexperienced a part of it—assist cut back local weather change, assist flip round a few of these points that now we have proper now within the surroundings. Any international locations or anyone that is really received it proper?”
Tariq: “There are undoubtedly sectors of the market the place persons are doing issues that we want extra of. So I gave the instance earlier than, if yours is a public markets fund that is simply rearranging baskets of shares already traded in secondary public markets, that has no actual influence, and it is in all probability unethical to promote beneath the concept it does, and is anyway a placebo or harmful. However non-public automobiles that can put money into contemporary funding for an innovator—so let’s take a local weather VC—there’s undoubtedly additionality in that, as a result of should you make investments $100 million from that fund to again some new entrepreneur, and he or she has discovered a approach to construct some nice new carbon seize and storage mechanism, you making that funding adjustments the world as a result of should you did not do it, then perhaps she would not have had the instruments to scale it and the world could be a unique place. So there’s a subset of issues which are attention-grabbing.
“I feel it is much less outlined by geography and extra by the kind of funding it’s, primary. Quantity two, I might say that sure international locations are doing it somewhat bit higher than others, however some a part of that’s decided by the enterprise tradition and the way a lot they care about these items. In Europe, clearly they lean extra in direction of it and I feel are a bit extra forward of the curve in fascinated by the truth that this must be strong and actual than it’s in North America at the moment, which feels a bit just like the Wild West. And I might say that sure governments are pondering very actually about how can we work with business to create credible objectives. So to offer you an instance, in Singapore, even the federal government, they stated, “hear, we do not have a web zero plan that is public but.” And I stated, “why?” They stated, it isn’t as a result of they are not considerate—it isn’t that they do not consider in local weather change—however as a result of they stated, “look, we do not wish to put our title on one thing until we all know we are able to obtain it and have a plan to get there.”
“The issue, I feel, in Western democracies at the moment, is that persons are so short-term oriented that nobody actually even feels on the hook for what is going on to occur in 2030. Common CEO tenure is 5 years. That is although CEOs receives a commission greater than they’ve ever gotten paid— it is 320 occasions the common business employee. In order that they’re probably not targeted on 2030, a lot much less 2050, as a result of they will make their cash earlier than the last decade’s out, and the politicians are targeted on the following electoral cycle. There are governments which are doing it effectively, however to be sincere, proper now democracies are doing a horrible job of it as a result of they do not even have folks on the wheel who actually assume they should plan for 2050.”
Caleb: “Let’s get again to you. Let’s get to the Rumie Initiative, he firm you based—the nonprofit you based—to attempt to educate monetary literacy to youngsters, the place you in the end ended up after your stint at BlackRock. Inform us about what you are doing there.”
Tariq: “So Rumie is one thing that is really in all probability the good factor I am engaged on proper now, as a result of successfully Rumi began out by saying “we’ll ship free studying to smartphones around the globe.” The rationale we did that’s as a result of I had labored years earlier on investments to convey cellphones into rising markets even, locations like Kenya, the place my dad and mom are born and raised. And you would see that it was the good equalizing drive if folks did not have landlines. Some did. Some did not. Everybody went to cellphones after which abruptly everybody’s utilizing the identical up-to-date know-how. And in order smartphones have grown round—there are actually six-and-a-half billion of them worldwide—we noticed a number of potential to make use of that as infrastructure to equalize the enjoying subject for studying, as a result of with the smartphone you could have high-quality studying quizzes, it is interactive, it is adaptive. The group began constructing that.”
“And at the moment, the premier resolution relies on one thing known as microlearning—you study in five- or six-minute snippets shortly in your cell phone. Analysis reveals that individuals get a troublesome imply rush once they refresh social media—that is what social media tries to get you on is refreshing it and also you get that hit. Effectively, you additionally get a dopamine rush from studying a brand new ability or idea. And so we took the mannequin, and we stated, “we’ll offer you a dopamine rush for one thing good on your psychological well being.” After which we began taking cues from social media—animated GIFs, memes, every kind of issues that preserve it contemporary and interactive so they do not simply get bored, and you’ll have even two or three paragraphs of textual content on a cellphone as a result of most youthful folks—they’re off—they’re used to speak algorithm. And so, what’s actually unimaginable is that in the course of the pandemic, it exploded in progress. It has now hit 1,000,000 learners a few months in the past and it is rising exponentially, so it is doubling each 4 or 5 months. However the coolest half is that it really has studying positive factors—22% studying positive factors versus the baseline. And this is the loopy half: 88% of the learners say that it is a optimistic alternative for social media time.”
Caleb: “We are going to hyperlink to the Rumie Initiative within the present notes in addition to your essays on Medium. Tariq Fancy, thanks a lot for becoming a member of the Inexperienced Investor. Actually good to speak to you.”
Tariq: “Thanks, Caleb. Nice to be right here.”