The Ukraine-Russia border crisis

Feb 15, 2022

The US ambassador to the North Atlantic Treaty Group, Julianne Smith, mentioned the US is “monitoring the scenario” after the Kremlin introduced the return of some Russian troops to their bases following the completion of army workouts, including that the US “must confirm” claims of a possible transfer in direction of de-escalation by Russia. 

“We now have observed as we speak that Russia is claiming that they’re transferring in direction of some form of de-escalation. We’re monitoring the scenario,” Smith mentioned Tuesday.
“We must confirm whether or not or not that’s actually the case,” she added. 

Talking throughout a press briefing in Brussels, Smith additional famous that Russia “made an analogous declare” relating to a possible de-escalation of tensions in December, however this later proved false. 

“After we went in to confirm, we really discovered no indicators of that. And since then, we have solely seen Russian forces transferring in the other way,” Smith continued. 

Earlier on Tuesday, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov acknowledged the return of some Russian troops to their bases, noting throughout a press briefing that it is a “regular course of” after the completion of army workouts.

“Russia has performed and can proceed to conduct army workouts all through the territory of the Russian Federation — that is an ongoing course of, as in all international locations of the world,” he added.43 min in the past

US accuses Moscow spies of working with Russian-language media shops to unfold Ukraine disinformation

From CNN’s Sean Lyngaas and Zachary Cohen

The US believes Russian intelligence businesses have labored intently with the editorial employees of 5 Russian-language media shops to spice up public assist for a renewed Russian invasion of Ukraine, US officers acquainted with the intelligence evaluation advised CNN in a media briefing.

Officers with Russia’s home and overseas intelligence businesses, the FSB and SVR, have covertly planted articles in publications that blame the West for tensions with Russia over Ukraine, query the legitimacy of the Ukrainian authorities and problem the US dedication to its European allies, US officers alleged.

A pillar of the alleged propaganda scheme is the Strategic Tradition Basis, a Russian journal that the US Treasury Division sanctioned final April for spreading disinformation within the 2020 US election, officers mentioned.

The US officers didn’t current the underlying intelligence the allegations had been based mostly on, and so they declined to explain how the knowledge was obtained. Among the info is corroborated by open-source reporting.

The disclosure is a part of a livid effort by the Biden administration to declassify intelligence within the hope of preempting Russian army motion in Ukraine, which Secretary of State Antony Blinken and different US officers have mentioned might occur at any time. Russia has massed an estimated 130,000 troops on Ukraine’s border, in keeping with two sources acquainted with latest assessments.

The disinformation marketing campaign “is a major vector for a way the Russian authorities will bolster assist domestically for an invasion into Ukraine, in addition to unfold any disinformation on a false flag operation,” a US official approved to talk on background with the media advised CNN.

Neither the Strategic Tradition Basis nor the Russian Embassy in Washington responded to a request for remark. Russia has beforehand denied US allegations that the Kremlin was spreading misinformation.

58 min in the past

White Home performed tabletop workouts to arrange for potential Russian invasion of Ukraine

From CNN’s Kaitlan Collins

After the Nationwide Safety Council acknowledged final November that Russia might doubtlessly invade Ukraine, a broad vary of presidency officers fashioned a so-called “Tiger Group” to create a playbook to recreation out how the US would reply to such an assault.

The hassle — led by Alex Bick, the NSC’s director for strategic planning — has been months within the making and concerned a number of elements what a response might require, “from humanitarian help, to pressure posture strikes, to embassy safety, to diplomatic efforts, to sanctions and different types of strain, to cyber,” an administration official advised CNN. 

The staff — which included officers from the State Division, Pentagon, Joint Workers, USAID, Power Division, Homeland Safety, Treasury and the intel group — performed two prolonged tabletop workouts to follow, together with one which concerned Cupboard members. 

“The truth is that what the Russians could find yourself doing is just not more likely to be a 100% match for any of those situations,” principal deputy nationwide safety adviser Jon Finer mentioned in a press release. “However the objective is for them to be a detailed sufficient facsimile of what they find yourself doing that the plans are helpful when it comes to decreasing the period of time we want with a purpose to reply successfully. That’s actually the entire objective.”

The Washington Publish was first to report the main points of the preparation. 53 min in the past

UK overseas secretary mentioned she’s involved a Russian assault “wouldn’t cease at Ukraine”

From CNN’s Niamh Kennedy

UK Foreign Secretary Elizabeth Truss is seen during a wreath laying ceremony at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier in the Alexander Garden, Moscow, on February 10.
UK International Secretary Elizabeth Truss is seen throughout a wreath laying ceremony on the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier within the Alexander Backyard, Moscow, on February 10. (Sergei Savostyanov/TASS/Getty Photos)

UK International Secretary Liz Truss mentioned she fears a Russian assault “wouldn’t cease at Ukraine.”  

“That is an assault on the neighboring states of Russia and different Japanese European international locations, in attempting to undermine the legitimacy of them being a part of NATO,” Truss advised Sky Information on Monday. 

She mentioned an invasion into Ukraine might convey in regards to the “undermining of safety extra broadly in Europe.” “We might additionally see different aggressors all over the world see it as a chance to develop their ambitions, so it is a very harmful second for the world,” Truss mentioned. 

The overseas secretary sounded a warning {that a} Russian invasion nonetheless “could possibly be imminent” after feedback from Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky created additional uncertainty in regards to the prospect of an assault this coming Wednesday. 

Truss laid out a spread of potentialities, saying there could possibly be an assault on Kyiv, an assault from the East or doubtlessly a “false-flag” operation – the fabrication of a Ukrainian assault on Russia, which US officers have beforehand alleged Russia is doing by creating “a really graphic propaganda video.”  

Russian troops might transfer right down to Kyiv from border areas “very, in a short time,” Truss added. Final week, the UK authorities suggested British residents in Ukraine to depart the nation now.1 hr 2 min in the past

Dow futures leap 400 factors, oil drops after Russia says it is withdrawing some troops

From CNN’s Matt Egan

Wall Avenue’s Russia-Ukraine fears eased Tuesday morning after Russia introduced it’s withdrawing some troops following the completion of latest drills close to Ukraine.

Dow futures jumped greater than 400 factors and US oil futures tumbled about 3.5%, even though Russia pressured Tuesday that main army workouts would proceed. 

The market response to indicators of potential de-escalation is the most recent instance of buyers hanging on practically each headline rising from the disaster. 

The Dow and S&P 500 have declined three days in a row, together with a drop on Monday that got here after the US State Division introduced the closure of the US embassy in Kyiv and that it was “quickly relocating” the small variety of remaining diplomatic personnel within the nation to Lviv.

US oil costs jumped above $95 a barrel Monday for the primary time since 2014 on considerations in regards to the Russia-Ukraine battle. Nevertheless, crude reversed course Tuesday morning, falling to $92 a barrel. 1 hr 9 min in the past

NATO’s Stoltenberg says Russia “nonetheless has time to step again from the brink”

From CNN’s James Frater in Brussels

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg gestures as he gives a news conference ahead of a meeting of NATO defence ministers in Brussels, Belgium, on February 15.
NATO Secretary-Basic Jens Stoltenberg gestures as he offers a information convention forward of a gathering of NATO defence ministers in Brussels, Belgium, on February 15. (Johanna Geron/Reuters)

North Atlantic Treaty Group Secretary Basic Jens Stoltenberg mentioned the indicators from Moscow for continued diplomatic work “offers grounds for cautious optimism.”

Talking throughout a press convention in Brussels, Belgium, Stoltenberg mentioned Russia nonetheless “has time to step again from the brink.”

“Russia has amassed a preventing pressure in and round Ukraine, unprecedented for the reason that Chilly Battle,” he mentioned. “Every little thing is now in place for a brand new assault, however Russia nonetheless has time to step again from the brink, cease getting ready for struggle and begin working for a peaceable answer.”

“We’re prepared to debate NATO-Russia relations, European safety together with the scenario in and round Ukraine, and threat discount, transparency and arms management,” he continued, earlier than including that “we is not going to compromise on our core ideas.”

“Each nation has the correct to decide on his personal path. And they’ll by no means be top quality and second-class members of NATO. We’re all NATO allies.”

Some background: Ukraine is just not at the moment a member of NATO, however has lengthy hoped to affix the alliance. This can be a sore level for Russia, which sees NATO as a menace and vehemently opposes the transfer.

Amid latest tensions with the West, Russia has requested for iron-clad ensures that the alliance will not develop additional east — significantly into Ukraine.2 hr 4 min in the past

UN Secretary-Basic says prices of Ukraine-Russia battle “too excessive to ponder”

From CNN’s Radina Gigova in Atlanta

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres speaks during a press encounter at the UN headquarters in New York, on February 14.
UN Secretary-Basic Antonio Guterres speaks throughout a press encounter on the UN headquarters in New York, on February 14. (Xie E/Xinhua/Getty Photos)

United Nations Secretary-Basic Antonio Guterres mentioned Monday he’s “deeply anxious by the heightened tensions and elevated hypothesis a couple of potential army battle in Europe” and that the worth of a possible battle “is just too excessive to ponder.”

Guterres made the remarks at a stakeout after talking with the Ministers of International Affairs of Russia and Ukraine, in keeping with a press release by his workplace.  

“The value in human struggling, destruction and injury to European and world safety is just too excessive to ponder,” Guterres mentioned. “We merely can’t settle for even the potential for such a disastrous confrontation.” 

“My message is obvious: There isn’t a various to diplomacy,” he mentioned, including “I’ll stay absolutely engaged within the hours and days to return.”

Guterres went on to say that “All points — together with probably the most intractable — can and have to be addressed and resolved by means of diplomatic frameworks. It’s my agency perception that this precept will prevail.”

He mentioned the United Nations Nation Group stays absolutely operational in Ukraine and that “the time is now” to defuse tensions. “There isn’t a place for incendiary rhetoric. Public statements ought to intention to cut back tensions, not inflame them,” Guterres mentioned. 2 hr 34 min in the past

India urges its residents to “take into account leaving” Ukraine 

From CNN’s Swati Gupta

The Indian embassy in Kyiv issued an advisory Tuesday urging its residents, significantly college students, to “take into account leaving quickly” amid heightened tensions in Ukraine with Russia.

“In view of the uncertainties of the present scenario in Ukraine, significantly college students whose keep is just not important, could take into account leaving quickly,” the advisory mentioned. 

“Indian nationals are additionally suggested to keep away from all non-essential journey to and inside Ukraine,” it added. 

It comes as plenty of international locations have advised their nationals to depart Ukraine after per week of failed diplomatic measures to avert a Russian invasion of the nation.

The embassy additionally requested Indian nationals in Ukraine to maintain them knowledgeable about their standing and mentioned the embassy in Kyiv would proceed to perform usually within the meantime.

Other than a small Indian enterprise group in Kyiv, there are roughly 18,000 Indian college students finding out medication and engineering in Ukrainian universities, in keeping with the Indian embassy.

Earlier this month, the official spokesperson for India’s Ministry of Exterior affairs Arindam Bagchi referred to as for a “peaceable decision of the scenario.”

“We now have referred to as for a peaceable decision of the scenario by honest and sustained diplomatic efforts to make sure that considerations of all sides are resolved by means of constructive dialogue for long-term peace and stability within the area and past,” Bagchi mentioned in a press briefing.2 hr 21 min in the past

Putin and Scholz talks start

From CNN’s Stephanie Halasz in London and Darya Tarasova in Moscow

Russian President Vladimir Putin, left, and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz meet at the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia on February 15.
Russian President Vladimir Putin, left, and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz meet on the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia on February 15. Mikhail Klimentyev/Sputnik/AP

Russian President Vladimir Putin and German chancellor Olaf Scholz have began their assembly within the Kremlin. 

Briefly opening remarks, the 2 leaders — seated on the famously huge desk — Scholz welcomed the chance to proceed in search of a diplomatic decision to the present disaster with Ukraine.

“In fact it’s clear that on this time we should additionally speak in regards to the troublesome scenario –concerning peace and safety in Europe — as you’ve already completed with my French colleague. However I’m glad that it is attainable now, and that we are able to speak now, as a result of an important factor is to resolve the relationships between international locations by means of good talks, and that’s learn how to do it,” Scholz mentioned.

Putin advised Scholz that the 2 leaders would “commit a big a part of our time to the safety scenario in Europe.”3 hr 1 min in the past

Ukraine president grateful for worldwide monetary assist

From Akanksha Sharma in Hong Kong

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Tuesday thanked the USA and Canada for sending his nation monetary help amid the continuing safety disaster with Russia.

“We’re grateful to the USA for offering substantial monetary assist of $ 1 billion and $ 3 billion obtainable for tasks in Ukraine,” Zelensky mentioned in a put up on his official Twitter account.

He additionally thanked US President Joe Biden “for the short choice and concrete outcomes” following their dialog on Sunday.

On Monday, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken introduced that the US authorities “is providing a sovereign mortgage assure to Ukraine of as much as $1 billion to assist its financial reform agenda and continued engagement with the Worldwide Financial Fund (IMF).”

“This supply – mixed with the robust partnership between Ukraine, the IMF, different worldwide monetary establishments, the G7 and different bilateral donors – will bolster Ukraine’s means to make sure financial stability, progress, and prosperity for its individuals within the face of Russia’s destabilizing habits,” Blinken mentioned in a press release.

The IMF is a corporation of 190 international locations working to foster world financial cooperation, safe monetary stability and facilitate worldwide commerce. 

In a separate tweet, Zelensky expressed his gratitude to Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for additionally offering half a billion {dollars} in monetary help.

On Monday, Trudeau confirmed in a press launch that “Canada will donate over $7 million of deadly weapons and diverse assist objects to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.”

Russia’s Ambassador to Canada, Oleg Stepanov, referred to as the giving of weapons help to Ukraine “unacceptable” in an interview with Russian state information company TASS. 

Stepanov mentioned the transfer would “solely worsen the present battle,” including that “by offering weapons, Western international locations are pushing the Kyiv regime to proceed the struggle towards its personal individuals,” in keeping with TASS. 

Ambassador Stepanov referred to as on Ottawa “to chorus from such actions and as a substitute use its particular affect with the authorities in Kyiv to convey them to the negotiating desk.”

Among the many deadly weapons donated by Canada are “machine weapons, pistols, carbines, 1.5 million rounds of ammunition, sniper rifles, and varied associated tools”, the Canadian authorities press launch mentioned Monday.3 hr 7 min in the past

A world on edge awaits Putin’s essential transfer

Evaluation by CNN’s Stephen Collinson

The world is suspended in a rare second of geopolitical limbo, on edge for a attainable Russian invasion of Ukraine amid conflicting alerts in Moscow, confusion in Kyiv and dire warnings from Washington.

Already excessive tensions rose even additional as one of the vital harmful moments in Europe since World Battle II stretches nerves and leaves everybody — aside maybe from President Vladimir Putin — questioning what’s subsequent.

On Monday, there have been indicators of a attainable last-minute openness to a diplomatic off-ramp within the Kremlin, however the spectacle of an estimated 130,000 troops on excessive alert exterior Ukraine’s borders urged a feint as a lot as a blink by Putin.

There’s a palpable sense that Russia and the West have reached a historic fork within the highway. Down one route lies a return to the confrontation and tensions that prevailed for many years through the Chilly Battle. Down the opposite may lie a diplomatic fudge that no key participant appears in a position to body given stark Russian calls for.

Learn the complete story right here:

Analysis: A world on edge awaits Putin's critical move

3 hr 16 min in the past

Ukraine skeptical after Kremlin publicizes withdrawal of some forces close to border

From Olga Voytovich and Tim Lister in Kyiv and Uliana Pavlova in Moscow

Ukrainian International Minister Dmytro Kuleba expressed doubts over a Russian assertion that some items that had been on army workouts close to the nation’s border could be returning to their bases.

Kuleba advised a media briefing in Kyiv that “varied statements are always being constituted of the Russian Federation, so we have already got a rule: “Don’t hear after which imagine. However do see after which imagine.» After we see the withdrawal — then we are going to imagine in de-escalation,” Kuleba mentioned.

Nevertheless, he welcomed the truth that diplomacy had efficiently managed to discourage additional Russian assaults till now.

“Along with our companions, we now have certainly managed to discourage Russia from any additional escalation. In the present day is mid-February. And also you see that diplomacy continues to work,” Kuleba mentioned.

Kuleba additionally spoke about strikes within the Russian parliament to acknowledge the breakaway areas of jap Ukraine as impartial. These areas name themselves the Donetsk and Luhansk Folks’s Republics and have been managed by pro-Russian separatists since 2014

“I want to remind you as soon as once more of Ukraine’s unchanging place. If a choice on recognition is made, Russia will de facto and de jure withdraw from the Minsk agreements. With all of the attendant penalties. We now have already warned our companions about this place.”

The Minsk agreements are supposed to discover a pathway to settle the standing of the breakaway areas. 

In the meantime, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov mentioned the withdrawal of some Russian troops was a “regular course of” after the completion of army workouts. 

“We now have all the time mentioned that, after the completion of the workouts, after levels that have to be accomplished inside a sure time frame, the troops will return to their locations of everlasting deployment. That is what is occurring this time as properly. This can be a regular course of,” he mentioned. 

“Russia has performed and can proceed to conduct army workouts all through the territory of the Russian Federation — that is an ongoing course of, as in all international locations of the world,” he added. 

In accordance with an earlier assertion from the Russian Protection Ministry, army workouts will proceed, involving troops from “nearly all” Russian army districts. 

Addressing members of the press on Tuesday, Peskov mentioned Russia has the correct to hold out such army workouts in its territory, including that that is “non-negotiable.”3 hr 22 min in the past

Some Russian troops on Ukraine border returning to bases however main army workouts proceed

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, right, welcomes OSCE Chairman and Poland's Foreign Minister Zbigniew Rau during a meeting in Moscow on February 15.
Russian International Minister Sergei Lavrov, proper, welcomes OSCE Chairman and Poland’s International Minister Zbigniew Rau throughout a gathering in Moscow on February 15. (Shamil Zhumatov/Pool/AFP/Getty Photos)

Good morning and welcome to our dwell protection of the continuing tensions between Ukraine and the West with Russia. Moscow introduced Tuesday it was withdrawing some troops after finishing latest drills close to Ukraine, however pressured different main army workouts would proceed.

The Russian Protection Ministry mentioned troops from its Southern and Western army districts — components of that are subsequent door to Ukraine — had begun returning to their house stations, although the announcement didn’t say exactly the place these troops had been completely based mostly, the place that they had been exercising, or what number of of them had been withdrawing.

Russia has amassed greater than 130,000 troops close to Ukraine’s border in latest weeks, in keeping with US estimates, elevating fears from Western and Ukrainian intelligence officers that an invasion could possibly be imminent.

This is a rundown of a number of the newest developments:

  • Final ditch western diplomatic efforts proceed Tuesday, with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in Moscow to satisfy with Russian President Vladimir Putin, a day after visiting Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in Kyiv. 
  • Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov advised CNN’s Frederik Pleitgen late Monday that Putin is “keen to negotiate,” saying the Ukraine disaster was just one a part of Russia’s bigger safety considerations.
  • The Kremlin’s remarks mirrored a slight shift in tone from Moscow. Earlier Monday Russia’s high diplomat Sergey Lavrov had insisted, in a fastidiously choreographed assembly proven on Russian TV Monday, that there’s nonetheless room for a diplomatic answer to the disaster.
  • In the meantime in Kyiv, Ukrainians are getting ready for an invasion regardless that they don’t assume it is imminent.