Stocks Finish Flat As Financial Conditions Tighten Further

Jun 24, 2022

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The completed the day decrease by 13 bps. It was a unstable day, with the market dropping sharply to open and rallying sharply, solely to shut flat.

There was a powerful sell-off on the open, with the S&P 500 falling to round 3,720 and rebounding almost 80 factors to three,800. However in the long run, it closed at roughly 3,760.

Perhaps it was as a result of Powell’s ; I’m unsure. He had nothing new to say, which can have been purpose sufficient to rally.

I don’t suppose something modified yesterday, so I’ll persist with my view that the S&P 500 retraces to underneath 3,700 within the subsequent couple of classes.

S&P 500, 5-Min Chart

Monetary Situations

As measured by the iShares 7-10 Yr Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:)/iShares iBoxx $ Funding Grade Company Bond ETF (NYSE:) ratio, monetary situations tightened once more Wednesday and made a brand new closing excessive for the cycle.

So usually, when this ratio rises, it tends to coincide with the S&P 500 dropping. So both the ratio is taking part in catch as much as the S&P 500, or the S&P 500 has a brand new low coming very quickly.

Thursday will inform us so much.

I inverted the IEF/LQD ratio on the chart beneath to make the connection with the S&P 500 simpler to see.

IEF/LQD Daily Chart

Exxon

Yesterday, I wrote up a narrative about Exxon Mobil (NYSE:) and a possible transfer decrease within the inventory. A bearish megaphone has shaped, which might see the inventory fall first to round $83, however I feel there may be potential for $70.

Exxon Mobil Corp Daily Chart

Exxon Mobil Corp Day by day Chart

Freeport

Copper costs have been dropping, and Wednesday, Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold (NYSE:) additionally fell by almost 8%.

It’s a huge spot for Freeport on the chart, with the inventory hovering round technical assist at $30. The place goes, Freeport will comply with. But when Freeport drops beneath $30, there’s a great distance for this to fall, probably to as little as $26.

Freeport Daily Chart

Copper

Copper is now buying and selling beneath $4 and seems to be heading to round $3.70, which is the subsequent huge assist degree.

Copper Futures Daily Chart

Copper Futures Day by day Chart

Taiwan Semi

As , copper appears to be following Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE:) decrease. So it most likely isn’t a great signal that Taiwan Semi is again to buying and selling at its latest lows. That is, in fact, additionally unhealthy information for Freeport.

Copper Futures/TSM Daily Chart

Copper Futures/TSM Day by day Chart

Unique Put up

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