S&P 500: What A Difference A Day Makes…

Nov 30, 2021

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…Or does it?

After its meteoric Black Friday plunge, the gapped up on Monday’s open, rallied a bit and was basing for a few hours at time of writing (2:15 pm).

The catalyst for this purge was information of the brand new Omicron COVID-19 variant from southern African nations.

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This two-day SPX value motion is proven on the next every day chart.

Friday’s shut landed on the decrease shifting common (21 MA offset into the longer term) of the William’s Alligator formation. The higher shifting common (8 MA offset into the longer term) has crossed under the center one (13 MA offset into the longer term), hinting of additional weak spot and rising . The Steadiness of Energy indicator didn’t make a brand new excessive on the final two SPX swing highs, warning of weakening shopping for.

Look ahead to the 8 MA to cross under the 21 MA to sign an additional pullback could also be forthcoming. A cross of the 13 MA under the 21 MA may very sign a bigger correction is imminent…notably if the value drops and holds under 4600.

S&P 500, Daily Chart

The RSI indicator on the next SPX:VIX every day ratio chart didn’t make a brand new swing excessive when the ratio made its final swing excessive on Nov. 2, and continued to say no, hinting of weak spot forward for the SPX. Equally, neither the MACD nor the PMO indicators made new swing highs, and so they crossed over into bear territory shortly thereafter.

A drop and maintain under 200 may see ratio value retest 150, and even 100, or decrease, relying on the speed of an additional pullback on the SPX. 

On this regard, regulate the Price of Change indicator on the SPX (I’ve proven it with an enter worth of 1 interval)..inasmuch as a drop and maintain under the zero degree will point out growing velocity to the draw back and to what diploma every day.

SPX/VIX Daily Chart

So, with the invention of yet one more variant, can anybody blame the skepticism displayed within the second tweet…particularly when a previous tweet incorporates data which may be faulty and untimely? Each tweets have been posted early Friday.

Commerce with warning, inasmuch because the markets are liable to over and under-react to information, particularly concerning COVID-19.

COVID-19 Variant News

COVID-19 Variant Information

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