S&P 500: Expect Lower Prices; What The Market Is Saying About The Twitter Deal

Apr 27, 2022

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S&P 500 Index, Daily Chart

S&P 500 Index, Every day Chart

Unhealthy will get worse for the as Monday’s rebound gave up the ghost on Tuesday and the index tumbled beneath 4,200 assist. Whereas not fairly the bottom ranges of the yr, we’re not distant and the market hardly ever will get this shut with out shattering such broadly watched ranges.

I’m nonetheless searching for a buyable bounce, however this one is shortly shaping up as a double backside, which means the second backside undercuts the earlier low, normally by a significant quantity. It’s gotta be stunning sufficient to persuade all of the fence-sitters to promote.

However to not despair, as soon as these weak holders abandon ship, provide dries up and costs bounce. That is why double bottoms are such dependable buying and selling patterns.

(Or , the market may fall one other 2,000 factors within the greatest massacre since 2008. Both means, my buying and selling plan is prepared. Is yours?)

As I wrote , I purchased the gorgeous bounce off of 4,200 assist. Clearly, that bounce didn’t work, however since I received in early, I used to be in a position to transfer my stops as much as my entry factors and that meant I didn’t lose something when costs retreated throughout Tuesday buying and selling.

Free lottery tickets? Solely a idiot would flip his nostril up at these and that’s the reason I don’t thoughts shopping for failed bounces. For each two or three failed ones, I catch one thing spectacular, like March’s 10% surge, which produced some really eye-popping income when traded in a 3x ETF like I do.

However yeah, Monday’s purchase failed, I received out at my entry factors, and now I’m searching for the following bounce. Possibly it arrives later as we speak. Or possibly Thursday, Friday, and even subsequent week. It doesn’t actually matter to me. All I do know is I can be standing in the appropriate place on the proper time when this factor lastly pops and people income will style oh so candy.

Tesla (NASDAQ:) received murdered when it was revealed Elon plans on utilizing his TSLA inventory as collateral to purchase Twitter (NYSE:). For anybody that’s been doing this for some time, they know collateral means margin calls. If TSLA falls right into a droop, that provides the banks the appropriate to dump Elon’s inventory, including gasoline to an already falling inventory value. That’s a recipe for catastrophe and is why TSLA fell 12% Tuesday. Fortunately, my subscribers pulled the plug when the inventory couldn’t maintain $1k assist.

If there’s a silver lining to this story, it’s that TSLA’s tumble places the complete TWTR deal in jeopardy. Therefore why TWTR is buying and selling thus far beneath Elon’s provide costs. That tells us the market doesn’t imagine this deal goes to occur.

Possibly the state of affairs will change over the following few days, however at this level, neither inventory is in favor of this deal. Possibly Musk will get the trace.

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