NVIDIA Earnings Preview: Where Next For NVDA Stock?

May 23, 2022

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When will NVIDIA report earnings?

NVIDIA (NASDAQ:) is scheduled to launch earnings after the markets shut on Wednesday Might 25.

What are analysts anticipating for NVDA earnings?

Consensus analyst expectations are for the corporate to report $1.20 in EPS on $8.1B in income.

NVIDIA earnings preview

For those who tried to invent a enterprise to capitalize on thrilling secular know-how developments like gaming, synthetic intelligence, information facilities, autonomous automotive improvement, crypto asset mining, and 5G communication know-how, you’ll create NVIDIA. Not surprisingly, the chipmaker has seen its gross sales develop 6X within the final 9 years, from $4.3B in 2013 to almost $22B in 2022.

Expectations stay elevated for this quarter, with merchants anticipating each income and earnings to rise by greater than 40% , however the proverbial “elephant within the room” would be the international semiconductor scarcity. Final month, NVIDIA famous that its graphics processing models (GPUs) are ‘restocked and reloaded’, hinting that the worst of the chip scarcity could also be behind the corporate. Whereas that will surely bode effectively for gross sales volumes shifting ahead, it might lower into common promoting costs (ASP) and should harm the corporate’s spectacular revenue margins. Merchants might be looking out for any alerts that the supply-demand stability for chips is shifting on this quarter’s earnings report.

In the meantime, on the valuation entrance, NVDA continues to command a “greatest in breed” premium over its smaller rivals. Taking a look at ahead P/E ratios, NVDA nonetheless trades at a 30 a number of, dwarfing rivals like Superior Micro Units (NASDAQ:) (ahead P/E of twenty-two), Texas Devices (NASDAQ:) (19), Intel (NASDAQ:) (12), Qualcomm (NASDAQ:) (10) and Micron Expertise (NASDAQ:) (6). Evaluating to itself, NVDA is roughly at its common historic valuation, suggesting that it might be a very good time for long-term traders to choose up shares of an amazing, cutting-edge firm at an inexpensive valuation if earnings and steering are in a position to meet/exceed expectations.

The place subsequent for NVDA inventory?

Because the chart beneath exhibits, NVDA’s inventory has had a tough six months, with the tech large shedding roughly 50% of its worth from its November twenty second intraday peak close to $350. Extra just lately, the inventory has been falling inside a descending channel because the begin of April, although bulls try to guard the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the 2019-2021 rally close to $165.

If earnings come out higher than anticipated, the inventory is prone to escape of its bearish channel and transfer again towards its month-to-month excessive close to $200. In the meantime, a disappointing earnings report might result in a break of assist within the $165 space and open the door for extra draw back towards $150 and even the Might 2021 lows within the $165 zone if threat urge for food continues to ebb.

NVDA Daily Chart

Supply: TradingView, StoneX

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