Max Life’s Q1 metrics mixed but outlook keeps investors hooked

Aug 13, 2021
Max Life’s Q1 metrics mixed but outlook keeps investors hooked

Shares of Max Monetary Providers Ltd have been on an upswing since April and have outperformed friends, resembling HDFC Life Insurance coverage Co. Ltd, and even the broad Nifty50 index.

The June-quarter metrics of its subsidiary, Max Life Insurance coverage, have been blended, however, the outlook supplied by the administration appears to supply succor to buyers.

Max Life Insurance coverage reported a 32% year-on-year (y-o-y) enhance in enterprise primarily based on annualized premium equal (APE) as its partnership with Axis Financial institution ensured a rise in product gross sales. Axis Financial institution branches contributed 63% of the full enterprise throughout the quarter, whilst proprietary distribution channels suffered because of the regional lockdowns triggered by the second wave of covid-19.

A short slide

Certainly, the impact of the restrictions was seen on enterprise development, too. Max Life’s APE confirmed a 54% sequential drop, a fallout of the second wave and seasonality.

Nonetheless, the life insurer managed to take care of the market share it had gained within the March quarter at 11%.

The administration has indicated {that a} surge in gross sales by means of online channels, deal with annuities, and sturdy development in particular person safety plans ought to assist development.

“Contemplating a gradual shift in direction of an extra worthwhile product combine and comparatively snug valuations, we proceed to love Max Life,” analysts at Emkay International Monetary Providers Ltd mentioned in a word.

One other effect of the second wave was on the surge in claims, which have been 1.3 occasions final yr’s peak throughout the pandemic.

The life insurer paid out a complete of ₹236 crores as claims, which have been 4 occasions the covid claims of FY21, mentioned analysts at Jefferies India Pvt. Ltd.

However, all life insurers have seen a surge in claims and Max Life just isn’t an outlier. Furthermore, the insurer has a reserve provision that adequately covers the rise in claims.

Whereas greater claims have been offset by reserves, Max Life’s worth of recent enterprise (VNB) development missed market expectations. A rise in prices and alter in product combine was behind this. VNB margin, too, slipped sequentially to 19.7%. The corporate administration has sounded optimistic on margins, going forward, and believes enterprise development will bounce again. For sure, Axis Financial institution continues to drive development for the corporate.

“We estimate a 21% APE CAGR (compound annual development price) over FY21-23, with the VNB margin remaining secure at 26% in FY23,” analysts at Motilal Oswal Monetary Providers Ltd mentioned.

With 25% good points since April, Max shares commerce at roughly thrice estimated embedded worth for FY22. That is just like peer HDFC Life Insurance coverage, however greater than SBI Life Insurance coverage Co. Ltd, the most important non-public sector life insurer within the nation.