Just a reminder of the EURUSD downside levels to keep in mind

Aug 26, 2022
Just a reminder of the EURUSD downside levels to keep in mind

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EURUSD strikes again towards 100 hour MA

The EURUSD is decrease, however remains to be above the low for the day and the 100 hour MA.

The present value is at 0.9977. The low for the day reached 0.99459. That took the worth briefly beneath the 0.99515 stage which was the low from July 14 low.

The July 14 low stalled the autumn on the time and led to run as much as 1.0378. The value fell beneath that stage earlier this month on the way in which to a brand new low at 0.98992 (bid facet). Name it 0.9900. A transfer again beneath 0.99515 ought to give sellers the go-ahead to push towards the lows for the 12 months (and new 20 12 months lows).

The 100 hour MA is simply above that July 14 low stage at 0.99635.

Of notice right now is the transfer to the draw back within the EURUSD has been considerably buffered by a report earlier right now that the ECB ought to take into account 75 bp hike on the subsequent assembly. Seeing that the ECB has 1 tighten of fifty BPs beneath it is belt, getting some room to the upside, even when development is on the verge of falling off a cliff might present the shove right into a darkish recession. The fact is the EU is hostage to Russia. Russia must open the spigots for them to see a restoration. If they do not open the spigots, there may be threat of runaway inflation that financial coverage may have a troublesome time cracking and with it recessionary decrease development.

In the meantime within the US, the Fed chair is able to struggle inflation to the the loss of life however no less than he/they get pleasure from a powerful labor market and continued development. That will change, however the dynamics favor the greenback even when ECB does elevate by 75 foundation factors.

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