Exxon’s 6% Dividend Yield: Worth The Risk For Income Investors?

Aug 19, 2021

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After sustaining a extreme blow final 12 months in the course of the worldwide pandemic, Exxon Mobil (NYSE:) is now exhibiting some power.

The biggest U.S. and producer posted its highest revenue previously few years final month when it reported its amid surging commodity and chemical costs. 

The Irving, Texas-based power supermajor posted adjusted earnings of $1.10 a share within the second quarter, its greatest in additional than two years. Chemical earnings had been the best on file. 

This turnaround makes Exxon’s 6% dividend yield extra engaging for earnings traders who wish to add a high quality dividend inventory to their earnings portfolios. However earlier than making a shopping for choice, it’s essential to know that Exxon has modified loads through the previous two years. And its present focus isn’t returning extra cash to traders.

Exxon Weekly Chart.

After a harmful two-year interval through the world well being disaster that sapped oil and fuel demand, Exxon has emerged in a weakened place. Throughout that interval, the corporate burned by practically $28 billion in money, borrowed closely to fund the ’s third-largest dividend, and endured the pandemic-driven shutdown of economies world wide. 

To take care of this disaster, Exxon drastically slashed its capital spending and let go of 14,000 workers. As if these shocks weren’t sufficient, Chairman and Chief Government Officer Darren Woods additionally misplaced a proxy battle earlier this 12 months to activist investor Engine No. 1. Exxon was pressured to interchange 1 / 4 of its board with candidates pledging to enhance monetary returns and the corporate’s local weather technique. 

Stability-Sheet Restore

Submit all these losses, Exxon is now extra targeted on repairing its stability sheet earlier than it considers mountaineering its $0.87-a-share quarterly dividend. The corporate’s internet debt jumped by about 40% to a file $68 billion in 2020.

That being mentioned, the inventory’s 6% dividend yield seems a lot safer than a 12 months in the past, when oil demand was depressed and the corporate’s money flows weren’t sufficient to cowl its payouts. Within the newest earnings report, the corporate mentioned it generated $9.7 billion of money stream from operations which was adequate to cowl dividends, capital investments and debt discount. 

As well as, the corporate’s chemical enterprise is flourishing. Demand for chemical compounds basically has held regular regardless of the stall in financial exercise globally. Demand for polyethylene, certainly one of Exxon’s foremost chemical merchandise, has been “extremely resilient all through the COVID-19 pandemic, regardless of being traditionally considerably correlated to general GDP,” in response to a report from Citigroup.

Inspired by this power, Financial institution of America reiterated Exxon as a high choose. In a current be aware it mentioned: 

“We proceed to consider XOM might be differentiated by the restoration with outsize free money stream to assist a resumption of dividend development that we anticipate earlier than 12 months finish.”

Backside Line

Exxon’s 6% dividend yield is contingent on many dangers which might be related to XOM inventory, together with unstable power markets, the involvement of an activist investor and the fast-spreading Delta variant.

Regardless of all these hazards, Exxon’s dividend is way safer than it was final 12 months. At 13 occasions ahead 12-month earnings, Exxon shares, which closed at $54.39 on Wednesday, may very well be a discount in contrast with its 10-year common.



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