EURUSD corrects to near the 38.2% of the week’s range, but falls back down

Apr 30, 2022
EURUSD corrects to near the 38.2% of the week’s range, but falls back down

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EURUSD

EURUSD commerce to the bottom stage since January 2017

The EURUSD has moved sharply decrease this week and within the course of moved to the bottom stage since January 11, 2017 (the worth low that day reached 1.04533) the low worth this week reached 1.04703 some 17 pips in need of that focus on.

The excessive worth was on Monday at 1.0813. That makes for a variety for the week of 343 pips. That is among the prime three ranges this yr (and going again to April 2020 as nicely).

Drilling all the best way right down to the 5 minute chart, in prior posts this week I’ve commented on the lack to increase and keep above its 200 bar shifting common (see publish from yesterday) regardless of makes an attempt to maneuver above.

In buying and selling right now, the Asian session noticed the worth lengthen above the 100 and 200 bar shifting averages, after which base in opposition to them earlier than shifting larger. The excessive worth prolonged to 1.05922. That was about 9 pips in need of the 38.2% retracement of the weeks buying and selling vary at 1.06012, and in addition in need of the 100 hour shifting common (overlaid blue line at present additionally close to the 38.2% retracement stage). The value shouldn’t be traded above its 100 hour shifting common since April 22 when it was up at 1.08207.

Since peaking right now, the worth has moved again down, and has moved again under the rising 100 bar shifting common on the 5 minute chart at 1.05519, and in addition the rising 200 bar shifting common 1.05299.

The present worth is buying and selling proper round that decrease 200 bar shifting common after reaching a low of 1.05088. When the worth primarily based in opposition to the 100 and 200 bar shifting averages earlier right now, it was close to the 1.0507 space. The value returned all the best way again to the place the bottom began the run larger right now.

It is Friday, something can occur, however the worth motion remains to be disappointing for the dip consumers in search of extra upside after the sharp unload of late.

Getting above the 100 and 200 bar shifting averages on 5 minute chart nonetheless stays targets that must be damaged and keep damaged. Getting above the falling 100 hour shifting common is a one other hurdle that may give the consumers some added consolation.

Absent that, and the consumers are nonetheless not profitable. The bounce is a “useless cat bounce”. The sellers are nonetheless extra in management.

What right now did, nonetheless, was it DID gradual the a technique market within the quick time period. The consumers did expertise a 85  pip  or so run after basing in opposition to the 100/200 bar shifting averages. It actually was the perfect correction all week, nevertheless it nonetheless could not get to the subsequent targets (and the sellers returned as a substitute).

EURUSD

EURUSD offers again a lot of the features

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