Could the Musk-Lara Smackdown Offer a Way Forward on Prop 103?

Feb 20, 2022

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When an obscure provision of a state’s 1988 insurance coverage regulation makes the information, it’s usually confined to the pages of Insurance coverage Journal. Nonetheless, when the world’s richest man tweets about that regulation in the middle of a Twitter spat with a state insurance coverage commissioner, it makes mainstream headlines.

Sound unusual? Not solely did it occur not too long ago, but it surely may really be the beginning of an effort to enhance the nation’s most infamous insurance coverage regulation.

It began when Tesla CEO Elon Musk remarked the carmaker’s Jan. 26 earnings name that, whereas the corporate’s Tesla Insurance coverage challenge had rolled out a telematics-based product for Tesla drivers in Texas, Illinois, Ohio and Arizona, of their previous house base of California, the strictures created by the state’s Proposition 103 regulatory regime had to this point restricted them to providing customary auto insurance coverage.

“It ought to be clear, like we’re pushing very exhausting for California to vary the foundations to permit informatics, which mainly implies that you’re as protected as you’re driving is measured,” Musk stated. “So, I feel the present California guidelines are opposite to the most effective curiosity of the shoppers in California and ought to be modified.”

That remark prompted California Insurance coverage Commissioner Ricardo Lara, himself an elected politician, to take to Twitter the following day and lob a salvo again in Musk’s route.

Musk, after all, responded in his trademark model:

Understandably, most consideration went to the absurdity of the alternate. However whereas the posturing made for entertaining Twitter, the meat of the controversy—Musk’s proposal to amend Prop 103—is broadly understood to be mainly inconceivable.

That’s as a result of, as Lara effectively is aware of, Prop 103 isn’t altering until Musk or another person needs to spend the greater than $100 million it will more likely to take to mount an initiative marketing campaign to overturn the regulation. By its very phrases, Prop 103 can’t be legislatively amended in a way that can enhance it. Extra concretely, it can’t be amended until it “furthers the regulation’s functions.”

However what if the regulation’s function ran towards a extra necessary coverage objective? May a courtroom take into account upholding a legislative modification? Maybe. And right here’s the place issues get attention-grabbing.

Latest empirical literature establishes a robust connection between driver security and telematics. Which is to say that drivers who elect to make use of telematic gadgets to trace their driving habits within the hope of reaching higher charges reply to these monetary incentives in ways in which make them safer than drivers who don’t. In no unsure phrases: telematics applications save lives. And never only a few lives on the margin; a 2018 paper in The Journal of Legislation & Economics discovered that “enrollees scale back their deadly accident danger by roughly 50%.”

It’s probably that insurance coverage corporations have recognized this for years, primarily based on their very own inner information. In any case, it’s of their pursuits to see the frequency and severity of accidents keep low in order that they will supply aggressive charges in a market with obligatory participation. However the now extra broadly understood level—that using telematics is related to higher security outcomes—straightforwardly confounds the coverage function of Prop 103.

Can it’s moderately maintained that the coverage functions of Prop 103, in prohibiting using telematics, ought to be afforded larger weight than the profound security positive aspects that the expertise affords? Effectively, maybe. As Lara’s tweets level out, there are different compelling coverage pursuits (notably, privateness) implicated by Prop 103.

However whereas Lara proclaims that he’s defending shopper privateness, that lofty rhetoric is diminished within the face of the supply of telematics merchandise in each different state within the nation. Certainly, barring publicity to out-of-market tv advertisements, Californians might not even bear in mind that this isn’t bleeding-edge tech with some unknown nefarious software. Insurance coverage regulators all through the nation have overseen the gathering and use of telematics information for pricing functions for greater than a decade.

What de minimis privateness positive aspects do Californians get pleasure from relative to their countrymen? Extra importantly, what privateness “protections” are they being made to endure in alternate for greater charges and deadlier roads?

Thought-about on this gentle, maybe Prop 103’s express textual content is so egregiously towards a broad public coverage concern for human life that California courts may take into account upholding a modification to its textual content supplied by the Legislature. In gentle of judicial precedent, and excessive deference to an initiatives textual content, I’d wager not. However, nonetheless, making an attempt couldn’t harm, and would definitely price lower than a full-fledged nine-figure initiative effort.

Extra broadly, the saga of Prop 103 counsels warning within the face of efforts to make legal guidelines successfully immutable. California’s 34-year-old “voter revolt” was the reducing fringe of insurance coverage regulatory pondering on the time, however hasn’t actually modified since, as a result of it could’t. In the meantime, markets, applied sciences, and even approaches to regulation inside the insurance coverage trade have moved on.

Perhaps on this one small manner, interesting to the higher coverage instincts of the Legislature and the courts, Prop 103’s constantly deleterious affect on Californians will be diminished.

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