Celsius Network is bankrupt, so why is CEL price up 4,000% in two months?

Aug 13, 2022
Celsius Network is bankrupt, so why is CEL price up 4,000% in two months?

[ad_1]

Crypto lending platform Celsius Community has an roughly $1.2 billion hole in its stability sheet, with most liabilities owed to its customers. As well as, the agency has filed for chapter safety, so its future seems bleak.

Nonetheless, Celsius Community’s native utility token CEL has soared in valuation by over 4,100% within the final two months, reaching round $3.93 on Aug. 13 in comparison with its mid-June backside of $0.093.

Compared, high cash Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) rallied 40% and 130% in the identical interval.

78b6cbc4 bdc9 4270 8c95 88a3eabfc792
CEL/USD every day value chart. Supply: TradingView

Takeover rumors behind CEL explosion?

Technically, the value rally made CEL an excessively valued token in early August when its relative energy index (RSI) crossed above the 70 threshold.

Takeover rumors seem like behind CEL’s upside energy. Notably, Ripple needs to buy Celsius Community’s belongings, in accordance with an nameless supply cited by Reuters on Aug. 10.

CEL’s value greater than doubled after the piece of stories hit the wire.

In July, rumors additionally surfaced about Goldman Sachs’ intention to amass Celsius Community for $2 billion. CEL was altering palms for as little as $0.39 round that point.

CEL value brief squeeze

A military of retail merchants additionally seems to be behind the CEL’s big upside push within the final two months.

Some merchants have organized a brief squeeze to restrict CEL’s draw back prospects. A brief squeeze is when an asset’s value rises instantly, forcing brief sellers to purchase again the asset at the next value to shut their positions.

It’s doable to create a brief squeeze due to CEL’s decreasing circulating provide, primarily because of the freeze on Celsius Community’s token transfers.

Curiously, FTX had about 5.1 million CEL tokens on Aug. 13, roughly 90% of all the overall circulation throughout exchanges. In the meantime, the quantity of open brief positions on the change was round 2.66 million CEL versus the month-to-month excessive of two.96 million CEL on Aug. 11.

99b1d4e8 2c2d 4d07 8b8e 3b8b960b18b9
FTX sport brief. Supply: Legacy Synthesis

In different phrases, brief merchants have closed about 300,000 CEL positions in simply two days.

What’s subsequent for Celsius toke?

Brief squeezes are arduous to maintain over an extended interval, historical past exhibits.

Such prospects put CEL at dangers of going through excessive correction within the coming weeks or months. As mentioned, the token is already overbought, which additional provides as much as the draw back outlook. 

dcd550e4 7f73 4dbf 96bf cce41cbf9e15
CEL/USD three-day value chart. Supply: TradingView

Drawing a Fibonacci retracement graph from $6.5-swing excessive to $0.39-swing low churns out interim assist and resistance ranges for CEL. Notably, the token now eyes a breakout above its 0.618 Fib line (~$4.21), with its upside goal at $5.25, up 45% from in the present day’s value.

Associated: Crypto markets bounced and sentiment improved, however retail has but to FOMO

Conversely, a break under the assist stage on the 0.5 Fib line (~$3.48) dangers crashing CEL towards $2.75, down 25% from the present value stage.

The views and opinions expressed listed below are solely these of the creator and don’t essentially replicate the views of Cointelegraph.com. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails danger, it is best to conduct your individual analysis when making a call.