AUDUSD trades up and down after CPI today

Jul 28, 2022
AUDUSD trades up and down after CPI today

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AUDUSD trades between 38.2%=50% of the latest vary

The AUDUSD has been buying and selling up and down in the present day. Basically, the CPI for the 2nd quarter was launched, with the info displaying QoQ inflation dipping to 1.8% from 2.1% final quarter. The trimmed imply got here in as anticipated however above the first quarter’s 1.4% enhance (rose 1.5%).

Technically, trying on the every day chart, the worth dipped all the way down to a low of 0.6912. That was simply above the damaged 38.2% of the transfer down from the June excessive at 0.69108. Consumers leaned. Shut assist in the present day and going ahead.

On the topside, the excessive from yesterday moved to a excessive of 0.69827. That was simply above (1 pip above) the 50% retracement. Sellers leaned. Shut resistance in the present day and going ahead.

The present value is at 0.6930.

Drilling to the hourly chart, the rising 100 hour MA has caught as much as the worth because the patrons and sellers battle it out in on the every day chart. That transferring common is available in at 0.6933. The present value is beneath the extent with the rising 200 hour MA beneath at 0.6893 as the following goal.

The worth of the AUDUSD moved final above the 200 hour MA on July 15 (see inexperienced line).

A break beneath the 200 hour MA by means of the FOMC fireworks would add to the bearish bias. A extra hawkish Fed (suppose inflation expectations not essentially the trail of charges) might see shares transfer decrease, increased charges and a better greenback (decrease AUDUSD).

Conversely, if the Fed chat is extra towards increased charges, however expectations that inflation could lastly begin to transfer down ought to hold shares supported (danger on) and transfer into the  AUDUSD  (take out the 50% degree). The door opens for extra upside with danger on the 0.6964 on a break (and one which fails).

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