S&P At 3850, NASDAQ 100 At 11690, Dow At 31220: Warning Signals

May 15, 2022

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Merchants reap the worth of intermarket technical/quantitative evaluation in capturing junctures, the place varied asset courses have reached potential inflection factors.

Such ranges might be help/resistance by way of TA, or strikes in materials magnitude, equivalent to 20% or 30% declines/features, which set off program pushed buying and selling.

So throughout Thursday’s market carnage (fairness indices and cryptos), I despatched the under charts (created on Thursday) to my WhatsApp Broadcast Group, highlighting the important technical ranges in 5 key markets. It is all about confluence throughout totally different asset courses. Here is how.

In Thursday’s case, as fell to 3928, I highlighted 3840/50 as the point of 20% decline from its highs, qualifying as bearish market territory. I added the 11720/50 level for as the -30% threshold and 31400 in the as 15% downside from its highs.

Identifying the levels in these 3 charts served as a warning—even as those levels had not yet been hit by the time of chart publication (Thursday 16:15 London Time).

Considering the correlation between cyptos and risk-assets, I highlighted the 28500-29000 range as the must hold level for (March 2020 trendline support on a closing basis), combined with other quantechicals.

Towards the end of Thursday’s US session, markets sustained a fresh risk-off attack, forcing SPX, NASDAQ 00 and Dow30 to new daily lows at 3858, 11690, and 31220 respectively. The levels were in line with the points highlighted in the charts as it was for Bitcoin. The sole exception was , which ended up breaking the $1830 trendline and is currently resting atop $1800.

At time of writing (Friday 18:50 London time), indices are up more than 3% for growth and 1.5% for value and, [subsequently], delivered the first Up-Friday session since Mar. 25. The next challenge is where do we mark the top in this bear market rally? But this could all change if SPX manages this 100-WMA accomplishment stated here.



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