The New York City Recovery Index: May 2

May 11, 2022
The New York City Recovery Index: May 2

Editor’s be aware: Beneath you will discover the week 87 launch of the NYC Restoration Index, initially revealed Could 3, 2022. Go to the NYC Restoration index homepage for the most recent knowledge.

New York Metropolis’s financial restoration index declined within the week ending April 23, 2022, falling simply over some extent to shut at 74 out of 100, with all main parts of the index recording a weekly decline. COVID-19 hospitalization charges continued to rise, together with an uptick in unemployment insurance coverage claims. Residence gross sales, rental vacancies, subway ridership, and restaurant reservations all declined in comparison with the week of April 16. On a optimistic be aware, residence gross sales and UI claims stay totally recovered, with pending residence gross sales nonetheless significantly above pre-pandemic ranges.


New York Metropolis’s financial restoration stands at a rating of 74 out of 100, in accordance with the New York Metropolis Restoration Index, a joint challenge between Investopedia and NY1. Over two years into the pandemic, New York Metropolis’s financial restoration is slightly below three-quarters of the best way again to pre-pandemic ranges.


COVID-19 Hospitalization Charges Rise

COVID-19 hospitalization charges continued to rise within the week ending April 23, growing by 13 day by day hospitalizations to achieve a trailing seven-day common of 56 hospitalized individuals per day. This compares to a price of improve of 5 hospitalizations recorded within the prior week, indicating that the present uptick may doubtlessly result in a extra severe outbreak. On a share foundation, hospitalizations rose 30% in comparison with the prior week, accelerating from a 13% price of improve through the week of April 16.

The CDC continues to challenge that 100% of circumstances within the New York area (which incorporates New Jersey, New York, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands) are attributable to the Omicron variant. The fast-growing BA.2.12.1 pressure now accounts for 61.9% of recent infections, with the New York area having the best prevalence of this pressure amongst all census areas tracked by the Division of Well being & Human Providers. Based on NYC Well being knowledge, the share of totally vaccinated residents within the metropolis continued to inch greater, with 78.1% of residents now totally inoculated towards COVID-19. Because the begin of the pandemic, over 2.38 million circumstances and 40,210 coronavirus-related deaths have been recorded in New York Metropolis.

Unemployment Insurance coverage Claims Rise

The variety of unemployment insurance coverage claims citywide rose by 790 within the week ending April 23, recording a rise from 4,840 to five,630 complete claims. Regardless of the appreciable improve, UI claims stay marginally under pre-pandemic ranges, 0.7% under the rolling common of claims monitoring the equal week of 2019. As such, this part of the index continues to be thought-about totally recovered.

Residence Gross sales Decline Marginally

New York Metropolis pending residence gross sales skilled a slight decline within the week ending April 23, falling by 13 from 705 to 692 complete gross sales. Regardless of this growth, residence gross sales stay effectively above pre-pandemic ranges, exceeding 2019 gross sales by 55%. Together with UI claims, the pending residence gross sales subindex stays totally recovered. Breaking down the outcomes by borough, Queens now leads town common with residence gross sales 84% above the pre-pandemic trailing common. Brooklyn and Manhattan observe with acquire charges of 53% and 51%, respectively.

Rental Availability Declines Significantly

The variety of obtainable vacancies inside the metropolis’s rental market declined significantly for a second consecutive week, falling by 913 items. With this week’s important decline of practically 1,000 items, rental availability is sort of 4,000 items wanting the pre-pandemic common for this time of yr. Disappointingly, the decline arrives at a time when rental availability usually rises approaching the summer season months.

Subway Ridership Reverses Positive aspects

Ridership alongside town’s subway community declined within the week ending April 23, after rising through the earlier week. Subway ridership now stands at 41.5% under the pre-pandemic degree, versus 40.4% for the earlier replace. The seven-day common of riderships now stands at 2.62 million, having declined from 2.75 million through the week of April 16.

Trying past town’s subway, different sectors of NYC public transit have elevated their ridership complete at a sooner price because the starting of March. The Metro North and Lengthy Island Railroads (LIRR) have each witnessed their ridership broaden at a sooner price over the previous two months, rising by 24.4% and 19.6%, respectively. By comparability, subway ridership rose by a relatively slower 14.4%. Bus ridership, together with bridge and tunnel site visitors, rose the least throughout this era, growing at a price of 13.0% and eight.5%, respectively.

Restaurant Reservations Decline

Restaurant reservations declined within the week ending April 23, after recording a wholesome acquire over the prior week. Consequently, restaurant reservations are actually 38.5% under pre-pandemic ranges, in comparison with 37.6% under as of the earlier replace. Regardless of the latest pullback, restaurant reservations stay greater than the pre-Omicron baseline, with the seven-day common of reservations presently at its highest degree since December 2021. The approaching weeks might deliver optimistic momentum for town’s eating places, with Mom’s Day approaching and hotter climate on the horizon.