The New York City Recovery Index: March 21

Mar 30, 2022
The New York City Recovery Index: March 21

Editor’s word: Under you will discover the week 81 launch of the NYC Restoration Index, initially revealed March 22, 2022. Go to the NYC Restoration index homepage for the newest information.

New York Metropolis’s financial restoration index staged a comeback for the week ended March 12, bumping the general index rating up from 83 to 96—the best general rating now we have seen for the reason that begin of the pandemic. Unemployment claims are trending under the 2019 rolling common, COVID-19 hospitalizations continued to fall, and restaurant reservations elevated barely, contributing to the increase within the general rating. Nevertheless, subway ridership skilled a notable setback, and gross sales slowed within the metropolis’s dwelling gross sales market. 

On Tuesday, New York Metropolis Mayor Eric Adams introduced that beginning April 4, masks might be non-compulsory for 2- to 4-year-old kids in faculties and day cares. Adams stated the choice was based mostly on present COVID-19 information, because the positivity charge in faculties has remained low for the reason that masks mandate was eliminated two weeks in the past for Okay-12 public faculties. “New York Metropolis is at the moment in a low-risk setting,” stated the mayor. There’s at the moment no COVID-19 vaccine obtainable for youngsters six months to 4 years previous.


New York Metropolis’s restoration stands at a rating of 96 out of 100, in line with the New York Metropolis Restoration Index, a joint undertaking between Investopedia and NY1. Almost two years into the pandemic, New York Metropolis’s financial restoration is now 96% recovered.


COVID-19 Hospitalizations Decline Additional

COVID-19 hospitalization charges continued to say no for the week of March 12, with the trailing seven-day common at 18 hospitalized individuals every day, 9 fewer than the earlier week. With 9 straight weeks of declines, that is the bottom the rolling common of COVID-19 hospitalizations has been for the reason that begin of the pandemic. 

The CDC continues to undertaking 100% of circumstances within the New York area (together with New Jersey, New York, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands) are associated to omicron, with over half of recent circumstances associated to the BA.2 pressure. A complete of two,294,696 circumstances and 40,030 deaths have been recorded in New York Metropolis as of March 22, whereas 77.5% of New York State’s inhabitants has been absolutely vaccinated towards COVID-19, in line with NYC Well being information. 

Unemployment Claims Lower

Unemployment claims decreased from 12,830 final week to five,390 for the week ending March 12, whereas the 2019 rolling common for a similar interval in 2019 solely decreased by 50 claims. This induced the index rating to leap from a rating of 61 final week to 144 this week. UI claims dipped again underneath 2019 ranges and have stabilized after a seasonal spike in claims final week. UI claims in New York Metropolis have absolutely recovered to pre-pandemic ranges.

Residence Gross sales Cool

Pending dwelling gross sales contracted over the week ended March 12, with the index rating falling to 177 from 188 final week. The decline was brought on by a steeper enhance within the 2019 rolling common by 23 gross sales over the identical interval. Nevertheless, pending dwelling gross sales are nonetheless working scorching, at 77% above 2019 ranges. By borough, Brooklyn nonetheless holds the lead with an 87.5% enhance in dwelling gross sales relative to 2019 ranges, with Manhattan and Queens following behind at 77% and 69%, respectively.

Rental Market Stagnates

New York Metropolis had 13,393 leases in the marketplace for the week of March 12, which is 58 fewer than final week. Nevertheless, this didn’t change the rental index, because the rating stays at round 80. The New York Metropolis rental market has stagnated just under 2019 ranges, and would wish to get nearer to fifteen,000 vacancies to match the anticipated charge for this time of yr.

Subway Ridership Slides

Subway ridership dropped over the week ending March 12, because the seven-day trailing common of riders dipped to 43.5% under 2019 ranges, reversing good points from the week earlier than. Regardless of the decline, subway ridership continues to hover round 40% under pre-pandemic ranges, roughly even with ridership ranges earlier than the beginning of the omicron wave. Subway ridership was trailing at 56% under 2019 ranges initially of January, on account of the omicron variant. 

Different public transportation networks within the New York tri-state space have skilled a rise in ridership for the reason that finish of 2021. Ridership for the Metro-North has elevated 32% from Dec. 31, 2021 to the tip of February, with the LIRR additionally experiencing a 31% increase in ridership over the identical interval. Ridership for bridges and tunnels additionally rose, rising 20% for the reason that finish of 2021. Whereas subway ridership was essentially the most impacted by omicron-related declines, subway ridership has rebounded the quickest, with extra riders than the LIRR and Metro-North in comparison with pre-pandemic ranges.

Restaurant Reservations Enhance Barely

New York Metropolis skilled a slight bump in restaurant reservations, growing from 47.5% to 47% under 2019 ranges this week. Although small, the acquire exhibits optimistic motion for the restaurant scene in New York Metropolis, because it strikes nearer to 40% under pre-pandemic ranges, which was the extent restaurant reservations have been at earlier than the omicron wave. Restaurant reservations would wish to push previous 40% under 2019 ranges to completely get well.