Crude oil falling on the Iran news

Mar 4, 2022
Crude oil falling on the Iran news

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The value of WTI crude is operating to the draw back as information of an imminent cope with Iran is taking maintain (see submit right here)

oil

The value of crude reached a brand new excessive going again to 2008 immediately at $116.57. The present worth is at $108.45. The low simply prolonged to $106.45. That degree was simply wanting the 38.2% of the transfer up from the final swing low on Feb 25 (beginning at $90.05 low). The retracement degree comes in at $106.40.

Oil

Crude oil falls to 38.2% retracement of current transfer larger

A transfer beneath the 38.2% would goal a swing low from yesterday at $105.16. Transfer beneath that, and the 50% of the identical transfer larger cuts throughout at 103.28.

SInce the Feb 25 swing low, the worth of  crude oil  has soared 28.3% (from the low to the excessive immediately) as Russian invasion of Ukraine pushed the worth sharply larger.

The phrase of a nuclear cope with Iran comes at an excellent time (I hope it lasts), and would open up some provide that can be misplaced from Russia because the NATO international locations (and past) tighten the financial sanctions on Russia – together with oil.

A Russian oil producer Surgutneftegaz, discovered NO consumers for April exports averaging over 200K barrels a day immediately. With oil comfortably above $100 (and as much as $116), that tells a narrative of the potential financial affect.

US shares have additionally seen a lift larger on the information with the futures now implying a better open:

  • Dow is up 214 factors. The index rose 596.40 factors yesterday
  • S&P is up 32 factors after rising 80.26 factors yesterday
  •  Nasdaq  is up 142 factors after rising 219.56 factors yesterday

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