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Cisneros, who’s backed by progressives like Consultant Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, is waging a rematch in opposition to Cuellar, a Democrat who has opposed abortion rights, after she fell narrowly quick within the 2020 main runoff. However, as Edgar Sandoval reported, conservative Democrats might need extra luck in some components of South Texas.
When the F.B.I. raided Cuellar’s house and marketing campaign workplace earlier this 12 months, nevertheless, the political calculus shifted. The goal of the F.B.I. investigation stays unclear, and nationwide Republican teams are watching to see whether or not there’s a window for whoever emerges from the G.O.P. main.
That doesn’t essentially imply that Cisneros could be extra prone to maintain the seat for Democrats than Cuellar. If nationwide abortion rights organizations get entangled within the race, they may provoke Republicans to play extra aggressively within the district.
“It doesn’t assist in attempting to truly change the political dynamic in Texas, when you’ve nationwide organizations are available, model themselves as liberal, wave blue flags, and say we’re going to show stuff blue and flip it,” stated Matt Angle, the founding father of the Lone Star Mission, which offers opposition analysis and different assist to Democratic candidates in Texas.
There’s a 3rd Democrat on the poll for the race, so it’s doable that neither Cuellar nor Cisneros clears Tuesday’s main. If the race goes to a main runoff, it will go away one other few months for the Cisneros-Cuellar main to unfold — and extra time to see what occurs with the F.B.I. investigation.
The lone aggressive Home seat
There’s just one district that’s constructed to be actually aggressive in 2022. However we in all probability gained’t know who’s operating in it till the Might runoff.
The incumbent within the fifteenth Congressional District in South Texas would have been Consultant Vicente Gonzalez, a Democrat. Nevertheless, he as an alternative selected to run in a seat that was drawn to be barely safer for Democrats after redistricting, leaving his present seat open.
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