EURUSD moves lower but stays above 2022 low. What next for the pair?

Feb 25, 2022
EURUSD moves lower but stays above 2022 low. What next for the pair?

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EURUSD

EURUSD tumbles decrease on Russian invasion of Ukraine

The  EURUSD  tumbled on the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The forex pair is down -1.26% on the day, with a excessive of 1.1312 and a low of 1.1156. The low has pushed the worth beneath the 2021 buying and selling low of 1.1185, however nonetheless stays above the 2022 and January low of 1.11207.

Trying on the day by day chart above, the sharp transfer to the draw back in the present day noticed the worth transfer beneath a swing stage at 1.1273, one other swing stage going again to December at 1.1220, and the aforementioned low from 2021 at 1.1185. These ranges at the moment are topside resistance on any snapback rally.

Drilling into the 4- hour chart beneath offers a extra detailed view of the technical bias and danger/goal ranges.

First going again to January, the worth moved beneath the swing low from 2021 (on January 27) at 1.11853. On January 28 there was a corrective excessive close to 1.1173. On January 31, the worth moved above the 1.1173 to 1.11853 space and that began the run increased within the pair.

That space between 1.1173 and 1.11853 (see inexperienced numbered circles) is now shut resistance intraday. Keep beneath is the very best case state of affairs for the bears/sellers.

Transfer above that space, and merchants will begin to look towards one other swing space between 1.12218 and 1.1234 (see crimson numbered circles). The 38.2% of the final development leg decrease can also be in that space growing the areas significance.

If the worth can transfer above that space on a corrective transfer going ahead, it might disappoint the sellers and may result in extra upside probing. Absent that, and the sellers nonetheless are extra in management

Abstract: The invasion information in the present day has pushed the EURUSD exterior what has been a interval of ups and downs going again to November 9. One of many main draw back lows has been taken out at 1.1185, however the lowest low stays at 1.11207.

Watch 1.1173 to 1.1185 as shut intraday resistance now. Keep beneath and the merchants will proceed to focus on the bottom low.

EURUSD

EURUSD on the 4-hour chart

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